10/03/2005

Borrowing rate pegged at 4.75%

The interest rate on borrowing has remained at 4.75% as the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) announced its latest decision to peg the rate for the seventh month in a row.

The MPC has not increased interest rates since last year, when the rate rose over five consecutive months from a low of 3.5% in November 2003 to stand at 4.75% in August where it has remained.

However, there are mixed signals from the economy. Consumer spending fell in the crucial period through December only picking up again later in January. House prices too have taken a knock with the Halifax reporting a 0.5% dip in February, and figures on mortgage lending indicate that this market too is entering a flat spell with little activity on the housing markets.

Some, though, do not consider that the steady rise to August last year is sufficient to cool the UK economy. While inflation remains on target at around 2%, this is expected to increase towards the end of the year.

There remains the possibility that interest rates may rise slightly to perhaps 5%, but this is considered to be the top forecast as there are fears that too much of a rise in interest rates could stifle the economy.

(SP)

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