04/09/2001

Bank likely to leave interest rate unchanged

The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of the Bank of England are likely to leave interest rates unchanged at 5 per cent.

The Committee are due to begin their latest two-day meeting amid a spate of calls for another cut in the interest rate.

Financial analysts were surprised at the Bank’s decision last month to cut interest rates by one quarter of one percent, the fourth cut this year.

Continuing strong consumer spending coupled with last month’s cut lead analysts to doubt if there will be another cut despite a strong lobby from the manufacturing sector to drop the rate further.

Retail sales show no sign of slowing, last month saw the largest increase in seven years, and house prices are booming thanks to the lowest mortgage interest rate in 40 years. Coupled to this the inflation rate continues to hover just below the 2.5 per cent target set by the UK Government.

All these factors will contribute to the MPC’s decision, but the Committee will also be aware that substantial jobs losses will soon begin to affect the performance of the economy as the global slowdown begins to bite further.

The CBI warned this week that the recession in manufacturing was beginning to affect the service sector. (SP)

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