12/06/2002

Stock gloom brightens euro trading

The euro has climbed to an 18-month high against the US dollar as concern grows about the state of the US economy.

With US stocks in decline heavy share trading on Tuesday ended with markets again depressed at fears over continued downward profit forecasts and extended lead times for a sustained recovery in the US economy.

However, the euro peaked at 95 cents, up to levels not seen in over a year. The euro has so far gained almost 7% against the US dollar since the start of the year.

While this is good news for European consumers and eurozone inflation figures, the current high-euro low-dollar equation will make exports to dollar-driven economies throughout the world more difficult. This is bad news for exporters and manufacturers based in the eurozone who are already facing competitiveness problems.

The combination of these factors pushed the London FTSE-100 well below 4,900 points on Wednesday.

Analysts pointed to a scenario that was described as the worst possible conditions for the stock market, which is still reeling from recent revelations of dubious accountancy practices in a number of major firms and heightened concerns over further profits revisions in others.

(SP)

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