08/04/2004

Interest rates remain on hold at 4%

Interest rates are to remain on hold at 4%, the Bank of England has announced today.

The Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee today voted to maintain the Bank's repo rate at 4.0%.

The most recent change in interest rates was an increase of 0.25 percentage points to 4.0% on 5 February 2004.

The British Chambers of Commerce (BCC) said that the decision was "the preferred option for business".

BCC Director General David Frost said: "If growth forecasts are borne out, 2004 will be the UK's first year of above-trend growth since 2000. But this growth is not enjoyed by all sectors: the manufacturing sector suffered a sharp fall in output between January and February. Strong independent survey data has yet to translate into a growth trend for manufacturers, meaning that early rate rises would be a further blow to this hard-pressed sector.

"At 1.3%, annual inflation is well under its target of 2.0%; meanwhile sterling has appreciated by 3% since mid-February, further cooling inflationary pressures. These factors gives the Bank of England plenty of leeway to let growth continue before inflation approaches its ceiling. It is vital to avoid further interest increases until the recovery is more secure."

The move was also welcomed by the Confederation of British Industry (CBI).

CBI Chief Economic Adviser, Ian McCafferty, said that he was pleased the Bank has not rushed into a decision to raise interest rates.

He added: "The manufacturing recovery is fragile, inflation prospects are well under control and the previous two rate rises have not fully fed through.

"If the recovery continues as we hope, business recognises that rates will have to increase over the course of this year. But the Bank's gradualist policy of well-explained and well-signalled rises remains the best way to maintain economic stability.

"The high level of personal debt reinforces the case for a steady approach and business remains concerned that sterling's renewed strength could hold back the recovery."

(gmcg)

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