07/08/2008

Interest Rates Held

The Bank of England has kept interest rates at 5% for the fourth month in a row in a bid to balance slow growth and rising inflation.

The Monetary Policy Committee's (MPC) primary goal is to reduce the current inflation rate of 3.8% to the Government target of 2%.

While the majority of policy makers voted to hold rates last month, one supported a cut, while another backed an increase.

There has been widespread speculation in the economic community that the economy is heading for a slowdown or at worst, a recession.

Analysts have said there is evidence to suggest that consumer price inflation will rise above 4% when July's figure is published next week.

It is even thought that inflation could top 5% before the end of the year, as energy firms raise their prices.

Hetal Mehta, Senior Economic Advisor to the Ernst & Young Item Club said that the bank has held rates because of fears of "pushing the economy into recession".

She said "it should not have come as a surprise" that "the bank felt it could do nothing but sit tight this month" and "it is a situation that is likely to prevail for a few more months".

Manufacturers group EEF's Head of Economic Policy, Lee Hopley said: "The MPC continues to be pulled in opposing directions by rising inflation and slowing growth.

"A cut in interest rates may be needed sooner rather than later to prevent the economy from drifting towards recession."

The British Retail Consortium (BRC) has agreed that a rate cut was needed "as soon as conditions would allow".

The BRC's Director General said that "weakening sales and record low consumer confidence show the downturn is deepening".

The credit crunch is continuing to have a detrimental effect on some homeowners.

According to figures released by the Financial Services Authority, home repossessions have rocketed by 40% in the first three months of the year.

However, in the US, oil prices have fallen from peaks of $147 a barrel last month to around $120 this month.

(DS)

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