02/10/2001

US rate cut expected to battle economic recession

The US Federal Reserve was widely expected to cut interest rates for the ninth time this year in a bid to help stave off a recession and fight the effects of the terrorist attacks on the US.

With the US economy edging closer to recession many analysts were anticipating a 0.25 per cent rate cut, but a 0.5 per cent cut was not being ruled out.

Either way a further 0.25 per cent cut or even a 0.5 per cent rate cut is not unexpected in coming weeks as the Federal Reserve Board move to limit the US economic slowdown.

However, a 0.5 per cent rate cut would take the US interest rate down to 2.5 per cent and to the lowest level in over 40 years.

Although most analysts agree that interest rate cuts are inevitable in the last quarter of the year, many consider that more cuts may be just around the corner as the massive US economy totters into what may be a prolonged period of negative growth.

The rate cut though is now held as window dressing as the main concern is a downturn in consumer confidence. One recent report revealed that consumer confidence had slumped to its lowest level in eight years while unemployment, a key factor in consumer confidence, had risen to a four-year high.

Although technically it takes two full months of negative growth to constitute a recession, US economy growth fell back to around 0.3 per cent in the last reporting quarter, this was down a full percentage point on the previous quarter during which there was 1.3 per cent growth. (SP)

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