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08/11/2010
Met Office 'Hail' Weather Breakthrough
Be it rain, hail or snow, a major breakthrough in forecasting the impact and number of Atlantic tropical storms has been achieved, said Met Office scientists today.
New research, published on Nature Geoscience web site today, revealed that the Decadal Climate Prediction System (DePreSys), developed at the Met Office, extends successful storm activity forecasts beyond the current season, providing predictions years ahead.
"Being able to predict hurricane frequency well beyond the seasonal timescale represents a real step-change in capability", said Matt Huddleston, Principle Climate Consultant at the Met Office.
"Tropical storms present arguably the most destructive weather on the planet. Being able to reliably predict how many storms may occur over a number of years means increased confidence in making strategic plans. Armed with such information, financial and energy sectors will have a genuine advantage."
Willis Research Network says the research has serious implications for the way insurers assess risk, allocate capital and strategically manage their portfolios going forward.
There is a strong link between the environmental factors in the tropical Atlantic that affect hurricane formation and remote ocean conditions in the north Atlantic and the tropical Pacific.
Doug Smith, the paper's lead author and Met Office specialist in decadal forecasting, said: "Our study is important for understanding the mechanisms of multi-year hurricane variability, and shows that forecasting hurricane activity beyond a single year is viable using dynamical computer models."
The study has also examined the recent increase in Atlantic hurricane activity and concluded this was not exclusively linked to natural fluctuations of ocean temperature. Looking forward, Dr Smith said: "This opens the door for further research to determine the relative importance of the different factors, be these greenhouse gases, aerosols, volcanic eruptions or solar activity."
(BMcC/KMcA)
New research, published on Nature Geoscience web site today, revealed that the Decadal Climate Prediction System (DePreSys), developed at the Met Office, extends successful storm activity forecasts beyond the current season, providing predictions years ahead.
"Being able to predict hurricane frequency well beyond the seasonal timescale represents a real step-change in capability", said Matt Huddleston, Principle Climate Consultant at the Met Office.
"Tropical storms present arguably the most destructive weather on the planet. Being able to reliably predict how many storms may occur over a number of years means increased confidence in making strategic plans. Armed with such information, financial and energy sectors will have a genuine advantage."
Willis Research Network says the research has serious implications for the way insurers assess risk, allocate capital and strategically manage their portfolios going forward.
There is a strong link between the environmental factors in the tropical Atlantic that affect hurricane formation and remote ocean conditions in the north Atlantic and the tropical Pacific.
Doug Smith, the paper's lead author and Met Office specialist in decadal forecasting, said: "Our study is important for understanding the mechanisms of multi-year hurricane variability, and shows that forecasting hurricane activity beyond a single year is viable using dynamical computer models."
The study has also examined the recent increase in Atlantic hurricane activity and concluded this was not exclusively linked to natural fluctuations of ocean temperature. Looking forward, Dr Smith said: "This opens the door for further research to determine the relative importance of the different factors, be these greenhouse gases, aerosols, volcanic eruptions or solar activity."
(BMcC/KMcA)
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16 June 2011
Met Office Team To Maximise Wind Energy
Met Office experts will be presenting new ways to maximise wind farm investment at wind energy conferences in Scotland this week in light of the volatility of wind resource over the last year. Weather patterns, and crucially wind speeds, underpin the success for this type renewable energy.
Met Office Team To Maximise Wind Energy
Met Office experts will be presenting new ways to maximise wind farm investment at wind energy conferences in Scotland this week in light of the volatility of wind resource over the last year. Weather patterns, and crucially wind speeds, underpin the success for this type renewable energy.
08 August 2014
Yellow Severe Weather Warning Issued
A severe weather warning has been issued for Wales. The Met Office has issued the yellow warning, saying that heavy rain, strong winds and large waves along the coast, could affect transport and cause disruptions. The weather is being created by the remains of Atlantic hurricane Bertha, which is making its way towards the UK, the Met Office said.
Yellow Severe Weather Warning Issued
A severe weather warning has been issued for Wales. The Met Office has issued the yellow warning, saying that heavy rain, strong winds and large waves along the coast, could affect transport and cause disruptions. The weather is being created by the remains of Atlantic hurricane Bertha, which is making its way towards the UK, the Met Office said.
20 October 2014
Met Office Warn Of Strong Winds And Heavy Rain
The Met Office has issued a weather warning as the remains of Hurricane Gonzalo is set to reach the UK. The forecaster has said that winds of up to 60mph and heavy rain is expected to affect most of the UK by Tuesday. A "be aware" warning has been issued for Northern Ireland, northern England, northern Wales and parts of Scotland.
Met Office Warn Of Strong Winds And Heavy Rain
The Met Office has issued a weather warning as the remains of Hurricane Gonzalo is set to reach the UK. The forecaster has said that winds of up to 60mph and heavy rain is expected to affect most of the UK by Tuesday. A "be aware" warning has been issued for Northern Ireland, northern England, northern Wales and parts of Scotland.
12 May 2011
Met Office Help Maximise Wind Farm Investment
Met Office experts will be presenting new ways to maximise wind farm investment at the Wind Energy Business Forum in London this week.
Met Office Help Maximise Wind Farm Investment
Met Office experts will be presenting new ways to maximise wind farm investment at the Wind Energy Business Forum in London this week.
27 October 2005
Britain basks in record temperatures
The UK is basking in sunshine as the country enjoys the warmest October 27 on record. Temperatures have risen as high as 21c in some parts of the country, beating the previous record of 20.3c, which was recorded in London in 1888. However, temperatures are expected to rise as high as 23c in some parts of the country.
Britain basks in record temperatures
The UK is basking in sunshine as the country enjoys the warmest October 27 on record. Temperatures have risen as high as 21c in some parts of the country, beating the previous record of 20.3c, which was recorded in London in 1888. However, temperatures are expected to rise as high as 23c in some parts of the country.
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Northern Ireland WeatherToday:A rather cloudy start with patchy mainly light rain, but becoming brighter through the day as the rain turns more showery, the best of any sunnier spells in the south. Maximum temperature 16 °C.Tonight:A few bright spells at first and any showers gradually dying out. Low cloud and mist or drizzle over northern coastal parts will spread south to most areas overnight. Minimum temperature 7 °C.
